registry/compare
Decompose into subgoals against Role then format
Both scored on the same cases against claude-fable-5, same judge. The intervals tell you whether the gap is real or noise.
suite reasoning-chainmodel claude-fable-5n=126 public cases each
decompose-subgoals
v1 by @ilya85.7
78.5 to 90.8 · holdout 85.2
role-then-format
v2 by @ilya91.7
86.5 to 95.0 · holdout 90.3
Intervals overlap. The 6.0 point gap is not significant at this sample size.
Metricdecompose-subgoalsrole-then-formatBetter
Public score85.791.7right
Holdout score85.290.3right
Interval width12.38.5right
Cost per run$0.987$1.850left
Median latency2.6s2.4sright
Sample size126168right
Reading this verdict
- Overlap
- Two entries are only meaningfully apart when their confidence intervals do not overlap. A higher number with an overlapping interval is a coin flip, not a win.
- Holdout
- The public score can be gamed by tuning to visible cases. A gap between public and holdout is the tell.
- Reproduce
- evalness compare \ decompose-subgoals role-then-format \ --model claude-fable-5