registry/compare
Role then format against Plain summary
Both scored on the same cases against claude-fable-5, same judge. The intervals tell you whether the gap is real or noise.
suite reasoning-chainmodel claude-fable-5n=168 public cases each
role-then-format
v2 by @ilya91.7
86.5 to 95.0 · holdout 90.3
plain-summary
v1 by @system73.2
64.3 to 80.5 · holdout 72.9
Intervals do not overlap. The 18.5 point gap is significant at this sample size.role-then-format wins
Metricrole-then-formatplain-summaryBetter
Public score91.773.2left
Holdout score90.372.9left
Interval width8.516.2left
Cost per run$1.850$1.426right
Median latency2.4s2.3sright
Sample size168112left
Reading this verdict
- Overlap
- Two entries are only meaningfully apart when their confidence intervals do not overlap. A higher number with an overlapping interval is a coin flip, not a win.
- Holdout
- The public score can be gamed by tuning to visible cases. A gap between public and holdout is the tell.
- Reproduce
- evalness compare \ role-then-format plain-summary \ --model claude-fable-5